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One such area is artificial intelligence (AI).
                           According to the UN’s International
                           Telecommunication Union, it will take
                           “massive interdisciplinary collaboration”
                           to unlock AI’s potential.  But because
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                           AI can also bring significant risk,
                           multilateral cooperation is needed to
                           address challenges such as security,
                           verification, “deepfake” videos, mass
                           surveillance and advanced weaponry.



         78              %        Respondents


                                  expecting “economic

                                  confrontations” to
                                  increase in 2020






                           Despite the need for a common set of
                           global protocols, AI has become a new
                           frontier for competitive geopolitics. In
                           2017, Russian President Vladimir Putin
                           said, “Whoever becomes the leader in
                           this sphere will become the ruler of the
                           world.”  China has strongly encouraged
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                           companies to invest in AI, making it a
                           national security priority;  AI is a pillar
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                           of its current five-year plan (2016–2020)   challenges remain. Eleonore Pauwels of
                           for science and technology development     the United Nations University Centre for
                           and its “made in China 2025” industrial    Policy Research warns that “the resurgence
                           plan.  In the United States, the Defense   of nationalist agendas across the world
                               21
                           Department’s Joint Artificial Intelligence   may point to a dwindling capacity of the
                           Center recently requested that its budget   multilateral system to play a meaningful role
                           be tripled to US$268 million,  citing the   in the global governance of AI.” 24
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                           rapid development of AI capabilities by
                           China and Russia as a reason for urgency.
                                                                      A coming decoupling?
                           There is some progress. Already,
                           stakeholders are coming together to        Geopolitical turbulence related to trade
                           design shared protocols for AI. The World   tensions and technological rivalries is part
                           Economic Forum’s Centre for the Fourth     of a larger risk for the global community—
                           Industrial Revolution has worked with the   the risk of the United States and China
                           government of the United Kingdom to        decoupling. Together, these two countries
                           formulate guidelines for more ethical and   account for over 40% of global GDP,  and
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                           efficient procurement of AI. These guidelines   they are the world’s leading innovators.
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                           will be piloted in countries across Europe,   They are also the world’s top two emitters
                           the Middle East and Latin America. And, in   of greenhouse gases.  Expanding the
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                           May 2019, the OECD’s 36 member states      global economy, addressing climate
                           adopted Principles on AI—the first common   change and realizing the full benefits of
                           set of principles that governments have    technology, therefore, depend on their
                           adopted—to promote AI “that is innovative   ability to coordinate as part of a common
                           and trustworthy and that respects human    global system that is capable of including
                           rights and democratic values.”  However,   other stakeholders.
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          14  Global Risks 2020
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