Page 2 - WEF Reoprt 2020

The Global Risks Landscape 2020

2020 Climate action Biodiversity loss Human-made environmental 2020 Climate action Weapons of Biodiversity loss Water crises
Extreme weather failure Natural disasters disasters failure mass destruction Extreme weather 4.0 C Climate actionaction n
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Involuntary migration Extreme weather failure Interstate conflict Natural catastrophes failure Weapons of mass destruction Water crises Involuntary migration Energy price shock T echnological Unemployment n t S Social instabilityinstability y A Asset bubblebubbles
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Income disparity urban planning
2013 Fiscal imbalances Greenhouse gas emissions Water crises Population ageing 2013 Financial failure Water crises Fiscal imbalances Weapons of mass destruction Climate action failure Note: Global risks may not be strictly comparable across years, as definitions and the set of global risks have evolved with new issues emerging on the 10-year horizon. For example, cyberattacks, income disparity and unemployment entered the set
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Income disparity Greenhouse gas Financial failure Environmental 2.5 3.0 3.31 3.5 4.0 plotted
2012 Fiscal imbalances emissions Cyberattacks Water crises 2012 Water crises Food crises Fiscal imbalances Energy price volatility Likelihood average 5.0 area
Storms and cyclones Flooding Corruption Fiscal crises Geopolitical conflict Asset price collapse Energy Economic Likelihood Top 10 risks in terms of 1.0 5.0
2011 Biodiversity loss Climate change 2011 Climate change price volatility
Top 10 risks in terms of
Impact
Figure I: The Evolving Risks Landscape, 2007–2020
Asset price collapse slowdown Chronic disease Fiscal crises Global governance gaps Asset price collapse (developed) Chronic disease Fiscal crises 2 Climate action failure 2 Weapons of mass destruction Economic
2010 China economic 2010 Deglobalization Oil price spikes Some global risks have been reclassified: water crises and income disparity were recategorized as societal risks in the 2015 and 2014 Global Risks Reports, respectively. 1 Extreme weather 1 Climate action failure Categories
3 4 5 6 Natural disasters 3 4 5 6 Biodiversity loss Environmental
China economic
Deglobalization
Biodiversity loss
Deglobalization
Extreme weather
governance
Fiscal crises
Oil and gas
Asset price
Asset price
(developed)
price spike
(emerging)
2009
2009
slowdown
Top 5 Global Risks in Terms of Likelihood 2008 2007 Blow up in Infrastructure asset prices breakdown 1st Middle East Chronic instability diseases 2nd Failed and Oil price shock failing states 3rd Oil price shock China hard landing 4th Chronic Blow up in diseases asset prices 5th Top 5 Global Risks in Terms of Impact 2008 2007 Blow up in Blow up in asset prices asset prices 1st Deglobalization Deglobalization (de
Water crises
Human-made environmental disasters
diseases
diseases
Chronic
collapse
Chronic
collapse
Global
gaps
Geopolitical
Data fraud or theft
Information infrastructure breakdown
Cyberattacks
Water crises
Global governance failure
Human-made environmental disasters
Technological
Asset bubbles
Infectious diseases
Note: Survey respondents were asked to assess the likelihood of the individual global risk on a scale of 1 to 5, 1
Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks
representing a risk that is very unlikely to happen and 5 a risk that is very likely to occur. They also assess the impact
Perception Survey 2019–2020.
on each global risk on a scale of 1 to 5 (1: minimal impact, 2: minor impact, 3: moderate impact, 4: severe impact and
5: catastrophic impact). See Appendix B for more details. To ensure legibility, the names of the global risks are
abbreviated; see Appendix A for the full name and description.